October 21, 2021

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Memphis vs. Navy odds, line, spread: 2021 college football picks, Week 7 predictions from model on 19-7 run

Memphis vs. Navy odds, line, spread: 2021 college football picks, Week 7 predictions from model on 19-7 run

The Memphis Tigers will try to break a three-game losing streak on Thursday when they host the Navy Midshipmen in an American Athletic Conference matchup. After starting the season 3-0 and upsetting Mississippi State, the Tigers (3-3, 0-2 in AAC) have dropped consecutive games to UTSA, Temple and Tulsa. The last two defeats came on the road. Meanwhile, the Midshipmen (1-4, 1-2) are off to the program’s worst start since 2002 when they went 2-10. Navy is coming off a 31-24 loss to SMU. 

Kickoff is 7:30 p.m. ET. The Tigers are 10.5-point favorites in the latest Memphis vs. Navy odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over-under for total points scored is 56. Before you make any Navy vs. Memphis picks and college football predictions, you need to see what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,800 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also enters Week 7 of the 2021 season on a 19-7 run on all top-rated college football side picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now the model has dialed in on Memphis vs. Navy and just released its CFB picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine to see the model’s picks. Here are the betting lines and trends for Navy vs. Memphis:  

  • Memphis vs. Navy spread: Tigers -10.5 
  • Memphis vs. Navy over-under: 56 points 
  • Memphis vs. Navy money line: Tigers -420, Midshipmen +320 
  • MEM: Calvin Austin III leads the FBS in receiving yards (837) 
  • NAVY: Navy ranks fifth in the country in yards per completion (17.4)

Featured Game | Memphis Tigers vs. Navy Midshipmen

Why Memphis can cover

Calvin Austin III has established himself as one of the most productive receivers in the country. The 5-foot-9 senior from Memphis leads the FBS in receiving yards (837) and ranks second in receiving yards per game (139.5) and all-purpose yards per game (162.0). He also ranks fourth in the country in receiving touchdowns (eight), seventh in receptions per game (8.0) and 12th in total touchdowns (nine). 

In addition, Memphis has had a great home field advantage at the Liberty Bowl. Since head coach Ryan Silverfield joined the coaching staff in 2016, the Tigers are 33-4 (.892) at home. As a head coach, Silverfield is 8-1 (.889) at the Liberty Bowl. That stretch includes a 48-45 win against No. 25 UCLA on Sept. 16, 2017.

Why Navy can cover

Linebacker Diego Fagot is off to a fast start in 2020. A 6-foot-3 senior from Fort Lauderdale, Fla., Fagot leads the Midshipmen with 46 tackles and 6.5 tackles for a loss. He is ranked 19th in the country in tackles per game (9.2) and 20th in solo tackles per game (5.4). 

In addition, Navy faces a Memphis defense that has struggled so far this season. The Tigers allow 457.3 yards of total offense per game, which ranks eighth in the AAC and 116th in the country. Memphis also gives up 32.7 points per game, which ranks seventh in the conference and 108th in the nation.

How to make Memphis vs. Navy picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning under on the point total, projecting the teams to combine for 53 points. It also has an against the spread pick that cashes in more than 60 percent of simulations. You can only see the model’s picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Navy vs. Memphis? And which side of the spread hits more than 60 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Memphis vs. Navy spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is on a 19-7 run on top-rated picks, and find out.